Bloomberg Surveillance

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Matt Miskin & Barry Ritholtz. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research - R Kipp deVeer, Co-President and Partner at Ares Management - Ned Lamont, Governor (D) of Connecticut - Bill Cassidy, Republican Senator: Louisiana Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research, joins for a discussion on the US equity outlook and the push higher in markets. R Kipp deVeer, Co-President and Partner at Ares Management, and Ned Lamont, Governor (D) of Connecticut, join from the Greenwich Economic Forum for discussions on the US economy and US leadership. Bill Cassidy, Republican Senator: Louisiana, joins to talk about the government shutdown and outlook for Trump administration priorites. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyOctober 7th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Jeffrey Rosenberg, Senior Portfolio Manager - Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at Blackrock, talks macro shifts in fixed income and the outlook for the US economy and broader markets. While equities worldwide have surged to successive record highs, worries over the US government shutdown and the political crisis in France have driven investors toward alternative assets such as gold and Bitcoin, sending both to new peaks. 2) Libby Cantrill, Head: Public Policy at PIMCO, talks about potential shutdown off ramps and the outlook for Trump administration economic and political priorities. President Trump showed signs of cracking, sending mixed messages about the state of talks with Democrats on their biggest demand, which is related to health care subsidies. 3) Mike Reid, Senior US Economist at RBC, talks about his outlook for a recession and reigniting inflation in the US. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its gold forecast for December 2026 to $4,900 an ounce, up from $4,300, citing ETF inflows and central-bank buying. According to the latest data, the People’s Bank of China added to its gold holdings in September for an 11th consecutive month. 4) Dan Skelly, Head of Morgan Stanley's Wealth Management Market Research and Strategy Team, on the market's sustained push higher and defensive positions. A flurry of AI-related deals among chipmakers has propelled shares higher and fueled some concerns of a speculative bubble reminiscent of the late-1990s dot-com era. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jordan Rochester & Gautam Mukunda. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Paul Donovan, Chief Economist, UBS Global Wealth Management - Jordan Rochester, FICC Strategy Head at Mizuho - Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel - Jay Goldberg, Senior Analyst at Seaport Research Partners Paul Donovan, Chief Economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses the economic implications of possible government shutdown-related layoffs. Jordan Rochester, Head of FICC Strategy at Mizuho, shares his take on what the near-certain elevation of pro-stimulus lawmaker Sanae Takaichi as Japan’s next prime minister means for financial markets. Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel, breaks down the US economic data that markets watchers will - and will not - get as the US government shutdown enters its second week. Jay Goldberg, Senior Analyst at Seaport Research Partners, reacts to news that AMD will partner with OpenAI. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyOctober 6th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Steve Chiavarone, Deputy CIO: Equities at Federated Hermes, joins to discuss finding value in what he considers a reaccelerating economy. US equity futures rose as investors bet that a resilient economy and Federal Reserve easing will continue to support corporate earnings. 2) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Strategy EMEA at Mizuho, talks the market implications of political turmoil in France and Japan. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index jumped to an all-time high as Sanae Takaichi was in line to become Japan’s next prime minister. European stocks dropped, with France’s CAC 40 benchmark plunging more than 2% amid fresh political turmoil. 3) Curtis Sliwa, Republican candidate for NYC mayoral race, on his candidacy, fundraising, and policies in his campaign for NYC mayor. Support for Republican Curtis Sliwa has mostly tallied in the low double digits, putting him in third place behind the former Democratic governor Andrew Cuomo, who’s running as an independent, and Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani. 4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Bloomberg's story on Taylor Swift's album release party and WSJ's report on why grown-ups are trading happy hour for field day activities. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Hamas agreed to release the last of the hostages from its 2023 attack on Israel but said the rest of a US peace plan would be subject to negotiation, a stance that offered uncertain hopes for an end to the conflict in Gaza. President Donald Trump responded favorably to the Hamas statement even though the group failed to address other key elements of his 20-point proposal that Israel has also demanded, including that it disarm. He called on Israel to stop its bombing campaign and said discussions were underway on “details to be worked out,” suggesting that he was willing to give Hamas some leeway. “I believe they are ready for a lasting PEACE,” Trump said of Hamas in a social media post. “Israel must immediately stop the bombing of Gaza, so that we can get the Hostages out safely and quickly!” In a subsequent video post, Trump thanked the Muslim-majority nations he credited with assisting in the negotiations and pledged that “everybody will be treated fairly” in ongoing talks. “This is a big day,” Trump said. “We’ll see how it all turns out — we have to get the final word down in concrete.” For instant reaction and analysis, Bloomberg Balance of Power host Joe Mathieu speaks with: - Rep. Gregory Meeks of New York - Bloomberg News State Department and Foreign Policy Reporter Eric Martin - Former Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Claudia Sahm & Amy Wu Silverman. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC - Jeffrey Rosenberg, Senior Portfolio Manager: Systematic FI at BlackRock - Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities - Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC, joins to talk about the health of the US economy and labor market. Jeffrey Rosenberg, Senior Portfolio Manager: Systematic FI at BlackRock, joins to discuss recent bond moves and whether Treasuries could rally amid a lack of clarity on jobs data. Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, talks about Tesla and recent Mag 7 and tech-related headlines. Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities, joins to discuss the Trump administration policy priorities as the government shutdown continues. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyOctober 3rd, 2025 Featuring: 1) Amy Wu Silverman, Head of Derivatives Strategy for RBC, joins for an extended discussion on the non-freakout market and how the government shutdown will affect market volatility. Investors are wagering that the billions pouring into the AI sector will translate into profits and extend gains in tech shares. 2) Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, talks labor market and US economic health. Concerns are growing that valuations look overheated as spending has yet to translate into earnings. 3) Priya Misra, Core Plus Fund at JPMorgan Asset Management, joins to discuss the economic impact of the government shutdown and the path of the Fed easing cycle. Friday’s burst of new partnerships and potential deals came just a day after a share sale lifted OpenAI’s valuation to $500 billion. Stocks have climbed to successive record highs this year, with AI optimism adding to bullish momentum from prospects of monetary policy easing and resilient earnings. 4) Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO, discusses Fed easing and when the tariff effects will bite. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Michael Darda & Ian Bremmer. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Nela Richardson, Chief Economist & ESG Officer at ADP - John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer - Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods - Binky Chadha, Chief Global Strategist & Head of Asset Allocation at Deutsche Bank Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP and Bloomberg contributor, joins to discuss what the lack of economic data could mean for Fed monetary policy as the US government shutdown enters its second day. John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer, shares his outlook for equities after US stocks ended Wednesday’s session higher, notching a new record and seemingly shrugging off the first government shutdown in nearly seven years. Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods, talks tech as that sector drove global indexes to fresh highs after a deal catapulted OpenAI to the world’s most valuable startup. Binky Chadha, Chief Global Strategist and Head of Asset Allocation at Deutsche Bank, explains his bullish market outlook and why growth - not rates - is the primary driver to focus on. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyOctober 2nd, 2025 Featuring: 1) Michael Darda, Chief Economist at Roth Capital Partners, joins for an extended discussion on the economic impact of the government shutdown and whether it will upend Fed easing. The shutdown could have significant economic impacts, with the Congressional Budget Office estimating a cost of $400 million per day in lost compensation, and some economists warning that mass firings could sap corporate confidence and reduce capital investments. 2) Ian Bremmer, founder at Eurasia Group, joins to discuss President Trump's peace plan for the Middle East and the latest on the war in Ukraine and Trump's approach to China. Arab and Muslim national leaders are pushing Hamas to accept the Gaza plan unveiled by President Trump, saying the need to end the fighting surpasses concern about the finer details. 3) Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, with the latest DC headlines and who will win out politically from the government shutdown. The US government shutdown has entered its second day, with the Trump administration raising the stakes by halting $18 billion in infrastructure funding and signaling a willingness to fire thousands of federal workers. 4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ report on AI supremacy and the Financial Times' story on Universal and Warner Music nearing a landmark AI licensing deal. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Henrietta Treyz & Aakash Doshi. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Jon Lieber, Managing Director: US, Eurasia Group - Greg Daco, Chief Economist at EY - Tiffany Wilding, Economist at PIMCO - Kate Kalutkiewicz, Lead for Trade at McLarty Associates Jon Lieber, Managing Director: US, at the Eurasia Group, joins to discuss the potential economic and political impact of the federal government shutdown. Greg Daco, Chief Economist at EY, and Tiffany Wilding, Economist at PIMCO, react to Wednesday's ADP private payrolls data. Kate Kalutkiewicz, Lead for Trade at McLarty Associates and a former US trade official, discusses the latest round of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyOctober 1st, 2025 Featuring: 1) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss the government shutdown and whether there's an end in sight. The US government shutdown is shaping up as a political quagmire for all involved, with President Donald Trump blaming "crazed" Democrats and Democrats trying to show their voters they can take a stand against Trump and his policies. 2) Amanda Lynam, Head: Corporate Credit at BlackRock, discusses any warning signs from the bond market as it relates to the government shutdown or if markets are looking right past it. Traders fear the loss of visibility will leave markets in the dark on the outlook for monetary policy, with the next Federal Reserve meeting still four weeks away. 3) Blerina Uruci, Chief US Economist at T. Rowe Price, discusses the economic impact of the government shutdown and where traders and economists will look for clues on the economy with key economic data on hold. The impact of the shutdown could be felt soon, with Trump's administration planning mass firings of government workers and the potential for public frustration and economic impact if the shutdown continues. 4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Business Insider story on the CEO of LinkedIn saying he relies on AI to help him write high stakes emails and Bloomberg's report on why retailers asking for a law to round to the nearest nickel. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Monica Guerra & Suki Cooper. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management - Monica Guerra, Head of US Policy at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management - Phil Orlando, SVP and Chief Equity Market Strategist at Federated Hermes - Bruce Van Saun, CEO at Citizens Financial Group Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, joins to discuss what kind of response he expects from markets with a US government shutdown deadline less than 24 hours away. Monica Guerra, Head of US Policy at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, shares her thoughts on the potential risks of a shutdown, including a possible delay to Friday's BLS jobs report. Phil Orlando, SVP and Chief Equity Market Strategist at Federated Hermes, gives his assessment of the outlook for risk assets with stocks on track for five straight months of gains. Bruce Van Saun, CEO at Citizens Financial Group, shares his view on the economy from the perspective of a bank CEO. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 29th, 2025 Featuring: 1) David Seif, Chief Economist for Developed Markets at Nomura, joins to discuss the economic impact of a government shutdown, economic reacceleration, and whether the Fed's easing cycle will be linear. Traders are looking ahead to a series of US labor reports due this week to gauge the Fed's next move, with the release of Friday's key payrolls report in doubt amid a budget impasse in Congress. 2) Monica Guerra, Executive Director and Head of US Policy at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, on the latest of a looming government shutdown. The US is hurtling toward a government shutdown with Democrats and Republicans seemingly no closer to agreeing on a plan to fund federal operations. 3) Suki Cooper, Global Head: Commodities Research at Standard Chartered Bank, brings us into the market open and talks about gold's record run. Gold's record-breaking rally came to a halt, with spot gold falling 0.9% after touching a new all-time high earlier on Tuesday. 4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Financial Times story on a record number of M&A deals and Business Insider's report on Bill Nye and brain health. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Lori Calvasina & Jim Caron. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.